Ubuntu 的人气在下降？纯属扯淡！,ubuntu扯淡散发此虚假消息包括这
Ubuntu 的人气在下降？纯属扯淡！,ubuntu扯淡散发此虚假消息包括这
最近就像多米诺骨牌一样，网络上关于Ubuntu的市场份额在下降、Ubuntu被它的近亲Linux Mint所超越的文章铺天盖地。散发此虚假消息包括这些国外著名科技博客The Register, ZDNet, PCWorld。这些文章大多都把责任归咎于Unity，而数据来源皆来自distrowatch.com。
更滑稽的是，竟有人声称Ubuntu 自Mark Shuttleworth 在2004 年创立Ubuntu以来，Ubuntu的市场份额一直在下降，它给出的图表如下：
它的主要(唯一)数据来源来自于distrowatch.com。
Ubuntu 的人气在下降？你在扯蛋吧。Linux News 将从以下几点分析，观点来自于omgubuntu：
distrowatch.com并不是准确的Linux 发行版流行度衡量方法
当一个发行版变为一个主流的Linux发行版，如ubuntu，Ubuntu DistroWatch主页的访问量并不会按ubuntu的实际用户数据比例增长。因为一般人并不会访问DistroWatch，还有可能他们都还没有听说过DistroWatch。通过上面滑稽的图表数据，你应该赞成当一个发行版是主流的Linux发行，DistroWatch的统计数据将没有意义。
其他衡量Linux 发行版流行度的方法
那么既然DistroWatch的方法不准确，那么如何知道相对的Linux 发行版流行度呢？事实上，它是相当困难的。或许最好的方法是看一下Facebook上各发行版主页。Facebook上Ubuntu已经超过500000粉丝，而Linux Mint只有14000。同样的方法，你可以看下Google+和Twitter发行版主页。
另外Google Trends也显示Ubuntu 明显领先。
另外DistroWatch也公布了distrowatch.com首页的访问情况，Ubuntu来明显领先。
还有一种方法就是查看一下wikimedia的统计数据，Ubuntu的数据也是遥遥领先。
附：下表为 Google Trends 2011年详细报表！
| ubuntu | ubuntu (std error) | Fedora | fedora (std error) | linux mint | linux mint (std error) | open suse | open suse (std error) | |||
| 54 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | |||
| Week | ubuntu | ubuntu (std error) | fedora | fedora (std error) | linux mint | linux mint (std error) | open suse | open suse (std error) | ||
| Jan 2 2011 | 62 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jan 9 2011 | 61 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jan 16 2011 | 60 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jan 23 2011 | 61 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jan 30 2011 | 66 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Feb 6 2011 | 62.5 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Feb 13 2011 | 62.5 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Feb 20 2011 | 60 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Feb 27 2011 | 60 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Mar 6 2011 | 63 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Mar 13 2011 | 58.5 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 1.5 | >10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Mar 20 2011 | 63 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Mar 27 2011 | 62.5 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 1.5 | >10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Apr 3 2011 | 65.5 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Apr 10 2011 | 64.5 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Apr 17 2011 | 64 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Apr 24 2011 | 83.5 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| May 1 2011 | 83 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 2.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| May 8 2011 | 69.5 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 2.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| May 15 2011 | 64 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| May 22 2011 | 62 | 5% | 10.5 | 5% | 2.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| May 29 2011 | 62 | 5% | 9 | 5% | 2.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jun 5 2011 | 57.5 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jun 12 2011 | 58 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jun 19 2011 | 56 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jun 26 2011 | 53.5 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jul 3 2011 | 53 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jul 10 2011 | 51.5 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jul 17 2011 | 54 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jul 24 2011 | 52 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Jul 31 2011 | 52.5 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Aug 7 2011 | 52 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Aug 14 2011 | 53 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Aug 21 2011 | 53 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Aug 28 2011 | 52.5 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Sep 4 2011 | 52 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Sep 11 2011 | 53.5 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Sep 18 2011 | 52 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Sep 25 2011 | 52.5 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Oct 2 2011 | 55 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Oct 9 2011 | 71.5 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Oct 16 2011 | 74 | 5% | 6.5 | 5% | 2.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Oct 23 2011 | 63 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Oct 30 2011 | 59 | 5% | 6 | 5% | 2.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Nov 6 2011 | 57 | 5% | 8.5 | 5% | 3.5 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Nov 13 2011 | 52.5 | 5% | 7 | 5% | 3 | 10% | 0.5 | >10% | ||
| Nov 20 2011 | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Nov 27 2011 | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Dec 4 2011 | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Dec 11 2011 | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Dec 18 2011 | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Dec 25 2011 | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Region | ubuntu | ubuntu (std error) | fedora | fedora (std error) | linux mint | linux mint (std error) | open suse | open suse (std error) | ||
| Russian Federation | 1 | 0% | 0.065 | 3% | 0.035 | 5% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Italy | 0.74 | 2% | 0.04 | 5% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Czech Republic | 0.71 | 2% | 0.11 | 3% | 0.035 | 10% | 0.01 | >10% | ||
| Spain | 0.65 | 2% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Ukraine | 0.64 | 2% | 0.045 | 5% | 0.025 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Indonesia | 0.615 | 2% | 0.05 | 5% | 0.025 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Germany | 0.605 | 2% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.025 | 10% | 0.01 | >10% | ||
| Finland | 0.57 | 2% | 0.05 | 5% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Taiwan | 0.565 | 2% | 0.095 | 3% | 0.01 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| India | 0.54 | 2% | 0.1 | 3% | 0.015 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| City | ubuntu | ubuntu (std error) | fedora | fedora (std error) | linux mint | linux mint (std error) | open suse | open suse (std error) | ||
| Beijing (China) | 1 | 0% | 0.15 | 3% | 0.01 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Moscow (Russian Federation) | 0.965 | 2% | 0.09 | 3% | 0.035 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Bangalore (India) | 0.735 | 2% | 0.145 | 3% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.01 | >10% | ||
| Milan (Italy) | 0.58 | 2% | 0.045 | 5% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Rome (Italy) | 0.57 | 2% | 0.04 | 5% | 0.015 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Berlin (Germany) | 0.54 | 2% | 0.035 | 5% | 0.025 | 10% | 0.01 | >10% | ||
| Barcelona (Spain) | 0.53 | 2% | 0.035 | 10% | 0.015 | >10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Madrid (Spain) | 0.51 | 2% | 0.035 | 5% | 0.015 | >10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Jakarta (Indonesia) | 0.495 | 2% | 0.05 | 5% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Mexico City (Mexico) | 0.45 | 2% | 0.065 | 5% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Language | ubuntu | ubuntu (std error) | fedora | fedora (std error) | linux mint | linux mint (std error) | open suse | open suse (std error) | ||
| Russian | 1 | 0% | 0.06 | 5% | 0.035 | 5% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Italian | 0.905 | 2% | 0.05 | 5% | 0.025 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Indonesian | 0.725 | 2% | 0.065 | 3% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.01 | >10% | ||
| German | 0.725 | 2% | 0.04 | 5% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.01 | >10% | ||
| Spanish | 0.67 | 2% | 0.045 | 5% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Chinese | 0.66 | 2% | 0.095 | 3% | 0.005 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| English | 0.595 | 2% | 0.085 | 3% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| French | 0.545 | 2% | 0.04 | 5% | 0.01 | >10% | 0 | >10% | ||
| Finnish | 0.525 | 2% | 0.05 | 5% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
| Hungarian | 0.525 | 2% | 0.04 | 5% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.005 | >10% | ||
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